Timeline · 1628 to 2025 · 83 dated case files
Every case file, in the order it happened.
From Vasa in 1628 to Iberian blackout in 2025. Read across the years to see the same failures and the same habits of discovery return.
Photograph: Alphonse Bertillon, pioneer of police identification, photographed in profile and full face by his own method. Wellcome Collection · CC BY 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons.
Before 1800 2 case files
The 1800s 8 case files
- 1815
The cold summer after TamboraTambora, 1815-1816: how far can one eruption explain one cold summer? - 1845
Lead, scurvy and a long winterFranklin expedition, 1845–48: what the evidence says about why it failed - 1846
The Missing PullAn orbit is wrong. Is the law wrong—or the inventory? - 1846
Two wards and one differenceVienna General Hospital, 1846-1847: why two maternity divisions had such different death rates - 1854
The exception beside the pumpSoho, 1854: test the pattern against the people it misses - 1859
The flare nobody measuredSolar storm, 1859: how large was the flare that preceded it? - 1887
A fringe that barely movedCleveland, 1887: why an interferometer test of Earth's motion through the ether found almost nothing - 1889
The dam that could not spillJohnstown Flood, 1889: why the South Fork Dam failed, and what the record can say about responsibility
1900 to 1945 16 case files
- 1900
A warning that pointed elsewhereGalveston, 1900: forecasting limits, Weather Bureau warnings and an island city without a seawall - 1901
Gears inside the rustAntikythera wreck, 1901: how did X-ray CT turn corroded fragments into an astronomical calculator? - 1907
A dead load nobody recheckedQuebec Bridge, 1907: how an estimated weight became a structural failure - 1912
Ice ahead, speed unchangedRMS Titanic, 1912: did the ice warnings, speed and lifeboat provision shape the outcome? - 1912
The skull assembled to deceivePiltdown, Sussex, 1912-1953: how a celebrated fossil was shown to be a composite forgery - 1914
A disease that spared the staffSouthern United States, from 1914: was pellagra an infection, a dietary deficiency, or something the record cannot yet separate? - 1915
When the destination stops matteringEndurance, 1915–1916: revise the mission as the evidence changes - 1917
Wrong side of the NarrowsHalifax Harbour, 1917: a munitions ship, a collision and the question of blame - 1918
The parade and the closuresUS cities, 1918: did the timing of closures and gatherings change how the epidemic hit? - 1919
Starlight bent by the SunSobral and Príncipe, 1919: did the eclipse photographs settle a test of general relativity? - 1919
Three suspects for a burst tankBoston, 1919: why did a storage tank burst and send a deadly wave through the North End? - 1928
The Clear ZoneAn antibacterial observation is not yet a usable medicine. - 1930
Drought meets the ploughSouthern Great Plains, 1930s: did drought alone create the dust storms? - 1940
The bridge that fed its own motionTacoma Narrows, 1940: follow the energy, not just the wind - 1940
A guess that rules things outBletchley Park: the machinery behind a testable crib - 1943
Hulls that broke in still waterSchenectady and the Liberty fleet, 1943: why welded hulls split
1946 to 1999 31 case files
- 1950
The lead that dated the EarthCaltech, 1950s: what did lead from an iron meteorite date, and why did ordinary lead keep interfering with the measurement? - 1952
The city under a lidLondon, 1952: emissions meet an atmospheric trap - 1954
Loads repeated, cracks unseende Havilland Comet losses, 1954: pressurized-cabin fatigue and the tank tests - 1959
The tent under the shoulderDyatlov Pass deaths, 1959: could a small slab avalanche explain the damaged tent and the injuries? - 1961
The missing pregnancy dataDrug safety, 1961: could a sedative be treated as safe without data on pregnancy? - 1962
What the film could showCuban Missile Crisis, October 1962: what the U-2 photographs could establish, and what they could not - 1963
The Ocean-Floor TapeSymmetric magnetic stripes test an idea about moving continents. - 1964
The Noise That Filled the SkyAn antenna’s unwanted signal becomes a cosmological clue. - 1967
The Clock in the ScruffA recurring mark on a chart challenges the interference explanation. - 1967
One eyebar, no second pathSilver Bridge, 1967: how did a flaw in one eyebar bring down the span? - 1969
A computer that kept restartingApollo 11 landing, 1969: why did the guidance computer keep restarting, and why was it safe to land? - 1970
The failure that began before launchApollo 13, 1970: reconstruct a component’s hidden history - 1975
A photograph without filmKodak, 1975: distinguish a working principle from a finished product - 1977
The signal that might have been a cloudWow! signal, 1977: what can one unrepeated 72-second detection tell us? - 1978
The wind that came from the cornerCiticorp Center, New York, 1978: how did the engineer find that the tower could fall in a storm, and what made the risk worse? - 1979
The light that said lessThree Mile Island, 1979: what the control room could not see - 1980
The Boundary and the CraterA chemical anomaly needs a source, a date, and a mechanism. - 1981
The detail that carried two walkwaysKansas City, 1981: trace where the weight goes - 1982
The bacterium ulcers hidRoyal Perth Hospital, 1982-1985: could a stomach bacterium cause ulcers rather than merely accompany them? - 1985
The Antarctic Spring GapA long-running measurement changes when nobody expects it to. - 1985
Software that replaced the interlocksTherac-25, 1985–87: when software took over safety checks, what failed? - 1986
Cold seals and the launch callChallenger, 1986: erosion, cold joints and the decision to launch - 1986
A test changed on the spotSoviet Union, 26 April 1986: why did the reactor become unstable during a test? - 1986
A gas cloud from still waterCameroon, 1986: where did the carbon dioxide come from, and what released it? - 1989
Heat without the expected signatureUniversity of Utah, 1989: can excess heat from palladium electrolysis be reproduced, and what would a nuclear source require? - 1990
A perfect result from a wrong rulerHubble, 1990: precision without independent accuracy - 1991
A clock that drifted with uptimeDhahran, 1991: how a clock error grew the longer the system ran - 1996
Two computers, one assumptionAriane 501, 1996: when backup is not independence - 1997
A reset from a waiting taskMars Pathfinder, 1997: how a shared lock became a spacecraft reset - 1999
The number with the missing meaningMars Climate Orbiter, 1999: an interface failure across Earth - 1999
The computer said the cash was missingPost Office Horizon, 1999 onward: why was the computer believed when it reported missing money?
2000 to 2019 15 case files
- 2000
Footsteps that tuned a bridgeLondon Millennium Bridge, 2000: why a crowd made a footbridge sway - 2003
The grid that lost its warning signsNortheast blackout, 2003: local faults, regional consequences - 2003
When previous survival becomes false reassuranceColumbia, 2003: distinguish missing evidence from evidence of safety - 2008
Returns that were too smoothBernard Madoff's firm, 1992–2008: what did the numbers show that regulators missed? - 2009
The speed readings that could not be trustedAir France 447, 2009: how did a brief loss of airspeed data turn into a stall from cruise altitude? - 2010
Trading faster, buying lessMay 6, 2010: volume is not market depth - 2010
The pressure test read as a sealGulf of Mexico, 20 April 2010: why did the crew believe the well was sealed? - 2011
Early neutrinos and a faulty connectorCERN to Gran Sasso, 2011: what caused an apparent speed above light, and how the measurement chain was checked - 2011
A seawall built to an older estimateJapan, 11 March 2011: why did the tsunami defeat the plant's cooling? - 2012
The eighth serverKnight Capital, 2012: a release that was not everywhere - 2013
Which test was actually run?Theranos, 2013–2018: what separates a demonstrated lab test from a claimed one? - 2014
Seven handshakes with a satelliteMalaysia Airlines flight MH370, 2014: where did the satellite data place the aircraft? - 2014
A twist in the oldest lightCosmic inflation, 2014: did a polarization signal reveal gravitational waves, or dust in our own galaxy? - 2015
The Chirp in Two PlacesA fleeting signal must survive an extraordinary noise investigation. - 2018
One vane, and a system pilots had not been told aboutLion Air 610 (2018) and Ethiopian 302 (2019): how could one angle-of-attack sensor command a new airliner nose-down again and again?
The 2020s 11 case files
- 2021
Why so many plants stopped at onceThe Texas grid, 2021: which failures pushed the system to the edge of collapse? - 2023
Readings from a hull under strainTitan submersible, 2023: what did the hull’s own monitoring data show before the final dive? - 2023
A chip 24 billion kilometers awayVoyager 1, November 2023 to April 2024: how did engineers diagnose a failed memory chip from interstellar distance, and work around it? - 2023
Safe bonds and a two-day runSilicon Valley Bank, 2023: how did a bank with mostly safe securities fail in two days? - 2023
The flake that hung halfwayLK-99 claim, 2023: did a copper-doped lead compound superconduct at room temperature? - 2024
A content file that was not codeCrowdStrike Falcon content update, 2024: how could one update crash Windows machines when the sensor code had not changed? - 2024
The half-second loginxz Utils backdoor, 2024: what small anomaly exposed malicious code hidden in release files? - 2024
A plug closed without its boltsAlaska Airlines 1282, 2024: how did a 737 MAX 9 leave the factory without the bolts that held a door plug in place? - 2024
A landing on featureless sandIngenuity Mars helicopter, 18 January 2024: what brought down the first aircraft on another world? - 2025
A DNS record with no addressesAWS us-east-1 outage, 2025: how did an automated DNS system leave a core service with an empty address? - 2025
Voltage the grid could not holdSpain and Portugal, 28 April 2025: what caused the grid to collapse?
Not tied to one date
Or browse by topicSoftware failures 15Aviation and spaceflight 16Bridges, buildings and structures 12Energy and power grids 7Medicine and public health 11Mysteries and open questions 7Extraordinary claims and replication 9Markets, money and fraud 6Weather, climate and the Earth 11Ships and the sea 9Investigations from the 2020s 12Astronomy and physics 13


